Analyst Projections: LIC’s Positive Upside and Growth Revival

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Discover the latest insights on LIC’s third-quarter earnings and market performance. Understand the projections for new business premiums, annualized premium equivalents, and the potential impact on share prices. Get expert analysis on the company’s growth assumptions and the factors driving its stellar run in the market.


Exploring the nuances of LIC’s third-quarter earnings and the company’s strategic decisions regarding an interim dividend payout.

LIC third-quarter earnings and market performance.

Insurance behemoth Life Insurance Corp will report third quarter earnings today and the numbers are likely to be subdued in all the key metrics for the company. The board of the corporation will take into consideration an interim dividend payment to shareholders in addition to the quarterly performance.

Understand the implications of this crucial financial update and the potential market reactions.

New Business Premiums (NBP) Projections: A Closer Look at the Numbers

Explore the anticipated 6% year-on-year decline in NBP, amounting to Rs 48,811 crore, and the associated impact on the company’s financial landscape.

Navigating Through Market Trends: APE and VNB Analysis

Delve into the expected 9% year-on-year drop in annualized premium equivalents (APE) and the 8% decline in the value of new business (VNB) to Rs 1,841 crore in the last quarter of the year.

Growth Assumptions and Market Dynamics: Insights from November 2023

Analyze LIC’s growth assumptions based on the observed trends in October and November 2023, shedding light on the company’s strategic decisions.

Strategic Forecasting: YES Securities’ Estimated VNB Margins Expansion

Understand the quarter-on-quarter expansion of VNB margins by 20 basis points, driven by YES Securities’ expectations of changes in business mix.

Market Performance: Scaling New Peaks and IPO Milestones

Witness the company’s recent stock performance, reaching a lifetime peak of Rs 1,050 with a remarkable 71% spike in the last 3 months. Explore the company’s journey from struggling to cross its IPO price in 2022 to breaching the Rs 1,000-mark.

Regulatory Nod: Finance Ministry’s Grant for Minimum Public Shareholding

Learn about the significant regulatory development in December, where the finance ministry granted LIC time to comply with the 25% minimum public shareholding requirement till 2032, influencing the stock’s rally.

Largest IPO in India’s History: A Recap of May 2022

Recall the historic moment in May 2022 when the government sold a 3.5% stake in the company’s IPO, amounting to Rs 21,000 crore, marking it as India’s largest IPO.

Analyst Projections: Positive Upside, Growth Revival, and Dividend Expectations

Gain insights into analysts’ positive projections, expecting an upside in LIC’s performance in FY25 and anticipating a potential step change in dividends, further supporting its share price.

Expert Commentary: Emkay Global’s Perspective on LIC’s Outlook

Explore Emkay Global’s analysis, highlighting LIC’s transition into an outperformance mode since H1FY24 results. Understand the factors contributing to this shift, including favorable valuation, strong EV growth, growth revival expectations in FY25, and a widening product offering.

Conclusion: Navigating LIC’s Financial Landscape with Confidence

Summarize the key takeaways from LIC’s Q3 earnings, market performance, and expert opinions. Recognize the company’s resilience and potential for growth in the coming fiscal year.

FAQs: Unveiling the Key Questions

What factors contribute to the company’s projected decline in new business premiums (NBP) and annualized premium equivalents (APE)?

The projections are based on observed trends, indicating a 7% growth in NBP and -11% growth in APE for October and November 2023.

How significant is the estimated VNB margins expansion of 20 basis points, and what drives this growth?

YES Securities anticipates VNB margins to expand quarter-on-quarter, attributed to expected changes in the business mix.

What led to LIC’s recent stock surge, reaching a lifetime peak of Rs 1,050?

the company’s stellar stock performance is attributed to a 71% spike in the last 3 months, marking a significant turnaround from struggles to cross the IPO price in 2022.

How does the finance ministry’s exemption for minimum public shareholding impact LIC’s market dynamics?

The exemption granted till 2032 has positively influenced LIC’s stock rally by reducing the possibility of an offer for sale (OFS) by the government.

Can you recap the historical significance of the company’s IPO in May 2022?

In May 2022, the government sold a 3.5% stake in LIC’s IPO, amounting to Rs 21,000 crore, making it the largest IPO in India’s history.

What are the expectations regarding the company‘s performance in FY25, as indicated by analysts?

Analysts anticipate a positive upside, expecting a growth revival in FY25 and the potential for a step change in dividends, supporting LIC’s share price.


In conclusion, LIC’s Q3 earnings and market dynamics paint a comprehensive picture of the company’s resilience, strategic decisions, and growth potential. As we navigate through projections, market performance, and expert opinions, it becomes evident that the company stands poised for continued success in the coming fiscal year.

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