📰 Indian Stock Market Ends with Modest Gains Despite Volatile Iran-Israel Tensions

Indian Stock Market
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The Indian stock market managed to end in positive territory on June 24, despite facing significant turbulence during the session. Reports of renewed conflict between Iran and Israel led to sharp intraday losses, although a late recovery helped benchmark indices close with modest gains.

The session highlighted the market’s vulnerability to global events, even as investors continued to show faith in domestic growth prospects.

 Indian Stock Market
Indian Stock Market

📊 Morning Surge: Markets Rally on Ceasefire Optimism

Indian equities began Tuesday’s trade on a strong note, buoyed by positive sentiment from the previous day’s ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, brokered by the United States.

  • The Sensex opened at 82,534.61, climbing over 1,100 points to an intraday high of 83,018.
  • The Nifty 50 started at 25,179.90, reaching a peak of 25,317.70 during morning hours.

The rally was broad-based, with investors optimistic about reduced geopolitical risk and positive global cues. However, the momentum was short-lived.


🚨 Midday Sell-off: Ceasefire Reportedly Broken

By afternoon, reports began circulating that Iran had allegedly violated the ceasefire by launching missiles, prompting a military response from Israel. Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz reportedly confirmed action had been taken against Tehran in response to these developments.

“Following Iran’s missile attack, we have directed military operations targeting hostile infrastructure,” international media quoted Katz as saying.

This sharp escalation spooked investors, resulting in rapid profit booking and sending indices sharply lower.

  • The Sensex dropped to a session low of 81,900, erasing its earlier gains.
  • The Nifty 50 slipped below the key 25,000 level, hitting a low of 24,999.70.

📈 Late Session Recovery: Market Regains Ground

Despite the downturn, the market regained some strength during the final trading hours. Bargain buying and short-covering lifted sentiment slightly, helping indices end in the green.

By 2:25 PM:

  • The Sensex was up by 137 points, trading at 82,034.
  • The Nifty 50 rose by 63 points, at 25,035.

Though well off their intraday highs, both indices managed to finish with gains — a reflection of market resilience amid global uncertainty.


🌍 Geopolitical Risks Add to Market Volatility

The resurgence of conflict between Iran and Israel reignited investor concerns about rising geopolitical instability. Market analysts note that such tensions are increasingly becoming a routine risk factor for global and Indian equity markets.

For the Indian stock market, the stakes are particularly high due to the country’s reliance on imported crude oil. Any disruption in Middle East oil supply has wide-ranging consequences:

  • Increases India’s import bill, widening the trade deficit.
  • Weakens the Indian rupee, making imports costlier.
  • Triggers inflation, particularly in fuel and transport.
  • Pressures corporate profit margins due to rising input costs.
  • Reduces foreign institutional investment during high-risk periods.

🛢️ Brent Crude Prices Fall Despite Escalation

Interestingly, despite the geopolitical flare-up, Brent crude oil prices dropped nearly 4% on the day. This decline was attributed to profit-taking in global energy markets and expectations that oil supply would not be immediately affected.

However, analysts caution that this trend could reverse rapidly if tensions persist or expand, putting fresh pressure on emerging markets like India.


🧾 Sectoral Trends: Defensive Plays Shine

  • Banking and financial stocks showed relative strength due to consistent loan growth and stable asset quality.
  • FMCG and pharma saw buying interest as investors sought safety in less cyclical sectors.
  • Oil and gas companies were subdued, reflecting the uncertainty in crude oil dynamics.
  • Tech and auto stocks moved mixed, tracking global demand concerns.

🧠 Market Outlook: Experts Urge Caution

Market veterans recommend that investors stay focused on fundamentals while maintaining a cautious approach given current global developments.

“Markets are showing resilience, but external shocks can cause sharp intraday swings. It’s important to avoid speculative trading in this environment,” said a senior analyst at a Mumbai-based brokerage.

“We advise allocating more to large-cap companies and avoiding overexposure to highly sensitive sectors,” another portfolio advisor noted.


💡 Tips for Navigating Market Volatility

Here’s how investors can stay smart amid a volatile global backdrop:

  1. Stick to fundamentally strong stocks with consistent earnings.
  2. Avoid overleveraging or making high-risk bets on momentum trades.
  3. Use corrections as opportunities to enter quality stocks at better valuations.
  4. Maintain a diversified portfolio across sectors and asset classes.
  5. Monitor geopolitical news closely, especially developments in energy-producing regions.

❓ FAQs on Indian Stock Market Volatility

Q1. Why did the Indian stock market swing sharply on June 24?
Reports of Iran violating a ceasefire and Israeli retaliation caused panic among investors, triggering mid-session selling.

Q2. Did markets recover by the end of the session?
Yes, both the Sensex and Nifty 50 recovered from their lows and closed with modest gains.

Q3. What impact do geopolitical events have on Indian markets?
They affect crude oil prices, currency strength, inflation, corporate profitability, and foreign investment flows.

Q4. Is crude oil price decline sustainable?
It’s temporary. Sustained geopolitical conflict can reverse the trend and lead to price spikes.

Q5. Should investors be worried?
Short-term volatility will persist, but disciplined investors focused on long-term goals should stay invested and avoid panic.


✅ Conclusion: Indian Stock Market Stays Steady Despite Global Headwinds

The Indian stock market once again demonstrated resilience, ending the session with modest gains despite a sharp sell-off driven by geopolitical concerns. While tensions between Iran and Israel continue to dominate headlines, domestic fundamentals remain intact.

Investors should prepare for continued volatility and use it as an opportunity to accumulate quality stocks, keeping a long-term view in mind. Staying calm, informed, and diversified will be key to navigating the uncertain landscape ahead.

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